Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.002332 0.002464 0.002606 0.002768 0.002950 0.003149 0.003386
2025-04-13 0.002108 0.002287 0.002486 0.002729 0.003020 0.003365 0.003811
2025-04-20 0.001891 0.002083 0.002305 0.002584 0.002933 0.003369 0.003973
2025-04-27 0.001794 0.002005 0.002254 0.002581 0.003008 0.003570 0.004411
2025-05-04 0.001746 0.001977 0.002260 0.002641 0.003164 0.003895 0.005085
2025-05-11 0.001680 0.001921 0.002222 0.002639 0.003231 0.004100 0.005627
2025-05-18 0.001653 0.001911 0.002239 0.002709 0.003404 0.004489 0.006594
2025-05-25 0.001597 0.001859 0.002198 0.002692 0.003445 0.004671 0.007242
2025-06-01 0.001536 0.001798 0.002139 0.002645 0.003432 0.004759 0.007726
2025-06-08 0.001516 0.001788 0.002150 0.002697 0.003581 0.005158 0.009120
2025-06-15 0.001491 0.001771 0.002147 0.002730 0.003701 0.005528 0.010705
2025-06-22 0.001448 0.001726 0.002104 0.002696 0.003701 0.005658 0.011678
2025-06-29 0.001392 0.001664 0.002037 0.002624 0.003636 0.005656 0.012285
2025-07-06 0.001353 0.001623 0.001997 0.002594 0.003643 0.005818 0.013733
2025-07-13 0.001287 0.001543 0.001897 0.002462 0.003454 0.005502 0.012876
2025-07-20 0.001261 0.001519 0.001879 0.002460 0.003505 0.005757 0.015012
2025-07-27 0.001253 0.001519 0.001895 0.002516 0.003670 0.006342 0.020424
2025-08-03 0.001231 0.001497 0.001877 0.002514 0.003723 0.006654 0.025469
2025-08-10 0.001226 0.001501 0.001898 0.002578 0.003919 0.007451 0.043711
2025-08-17 0.001202 0.001476 0.001874 0.002562 0.003945 0.007740 0.062188
2025-08-24 0.001174 0.001443 0.001836 0.002519 0.003906 0.007804 0.079402
2025-08-31 0.001167 0.001443 0.001849 0.002567 0.004076 0.008686 0.742245
2025-09-07 0.001157 0.001436 0.001851 0.002597 0.004210 0.009530 NaN